Fire, wind, drought and insects are how many forests renew themselves — and they are getting more frequent.
Well supportedGood evidence backs this, though some details remain open.
Disturbance is an intrinsic component of forest dynamics and a driver of structural diversity and regeneration. Synthesis of the evidence finds disturbance regimes intensifying across many forest types under climate change, with amplifying interactions between drought, insect outbreak and fire.
- Who this applies to
- Forest ecosystems generally, with the strongest evidence from temperate and boreal Europe and North America.
- Studied in
- Tracheophyta
You may have heard
“A forest fire is a disaster for the forest.”
Many forests are shaped by fire and regenerate through it; some species need it to release seed at all. What is changing is how often and how severely it burns, and that is a different concern from fire itself.
Why we rate it this way, and what the caveats are
That disturbance structures forests is long established. That regimes are intensifying is supported by observation and projection, with regional variation large and model uncertainty substantial.
How far it can be extended
The role of disturbance is general; the direction and rate of change differ substantially by region.
Caveats
- Disturbance being natural does not make its intensification harmless; frequency and combination are what is changing.
- Projections rest on climate and disturbance models with wide uncertainty.
Still unanswered
- Whether forests will regenerate as before under more frequent disturbance, or shift to different states.
Last reviewed 2026-08-30
The evidence (3 studies)
Supports · primary
Forest disturbances under climate change
Seidl et al., 2017 · Nature Climate Change
The synthesis of how fire, wind, drought and insect disturbance respond to climate and interact with one another.
Supports · supporting
Climate-driven risks to the climate mitigation potential of forests
Anderegg et al., 2020 · Science
Assesses the same disturbances as risks to stored carbon, which is where the consequence is quantified.
Context · contextual
Ecology of coarse woody debris in temperate ecosystems
Harmon et al., 1986 · Advances in Ecological Research
Documents the deadwood that disturbance creates and the biota that depends on it, which is why disturbance is not simply damage.