Across every wild horse, ass and zebra, striping tracks one thing: where biting flies are. It shows no association with predators, woodland, temperature range or social living.
Well supportedGood evidence backs this, though some details remain open.
Comparative analysis of striping across all extant equid species and subspecies, tested against range-wide geographic predictors, found consistent association only with the distribution of tabanid and tsetse biting flies. No support was found for predictors corresponding to the camouflage, predator-confusion, thermoregulatory or social-recognition hypotheses.
- Who this applies to
- All living equid species and subspecies, compared across their geographic ranges.
- Studied in
- Equus
Why we rate it this way, and what the caveats are
An unusually strong comparative design — five hypotheses tested against the same dataset, four failing on their own predictions — and independently supported by an experiment putting striped coats on horses. It remains a geographic association plus a proximate experiment, without an established mechanism.
How far it can be extended
The analysis covers the whole genus rather than a sample, which is what allows competing hypotheses to be tested against one another.
Caveats
- A geographic association is not a mechanism, and how stripes disrupt flies is not established.
- Within plains zebras specifically, stripe definition correlates with temperature — and temperature correlates with fly abundance, so the two are difficult to separate.
- Biting flies transmit disease, so the benefit may be about infection rather than about the bites themselves; this has not been separated.
Where researchers disagree
- An analysis of stripe variation within plains zebras across Africa found the strongest correlation with temperature rather than with fly abundance, which the authors read as consistent with a thermoregulatory contribution. Temperature and biting-fly abundance covary, so the two analyses may be detecting the same underlying gradient from different directions, and direct tests of stripe-driven cooling have generally failed to find an effect of useful size.
Still unanswered
- What visual process in the fly is being disrupted, which the landing experiments demonstrate without explaining.
Last reviewed 2026-09-03
The evidence (4 studies)
Supports · primary
Caro et al., 2014 · Nature Communications
The comparative analysis testing all five hypotheses against range data at once.
Supports · primary
Benefits of zebra stripes: behaviour of tabanid flies around zebras and horses
Caro et al., 2019 · PLOS ONE
The coat experiment: same horses, striped versus plain, with the uncovered head as an internal control.
Supports · supporting
Zebra stripes through the eyes of their predators, zebra and humans
Melin et al., 2016 · PLOS ONE
Removes the predator-based hypotheses directly: lions and hyenas cannot resolve stripes at the distances those accounts require.
Challenges · primary
How the zebra got its stripes: a problem with too many solutions
Larison et al., 2015 · Royal Society Open Science
Looks within plains zebras rather than between species, and finds stripe definition correlating most strongly with temperature — which the fly account does not predict. Temperature and fly abundance covary, so the two analyses may be reading one gradient from opposite directions.