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Study

Global warming and recurrent mass bleaching of corals

Hughes, Terry P.; Kerry, James T.; Álvarez-Noriega, Mariana; Álvarez-Romero, Jorge G.; Anderson, Kristen D.; Baird, Andrew H.

Nature, 2017

Peer-reviewedfield observationwild

Bleaching severity was surveyed across hundreds of reefs during successive mass bleaching events, and related to accumulated heat exposure and to local factors including water quality and fishing pressure.

Studied in
Anthozoa
Sample size
aerial and underwater surveys of hundreds of reefs across bleaching events

Bleaching severity tracked accumulated heat exposure. Reefs with better water quality and lower fishing pressure did not escape bleaching, and the interval between severe events shortened over the record.

What it means

The authors' reading, and ours. Where they differ, that difference is the point.

How the authors put it

Local protection does not prevent heat-driven mass bleaching, and shortening intervals between events reduce the time available for recovery.

How NatureHQ reads it

The result with the most uncomfortable implication in this family. Local management — water quality, fishing — has real benefits and did not protect reefs from heat. And because recovery of a badly bleached reef takes a decade or more, the interval between events matters as much as their severity: a reef can survive one and be unable to survive three.

  • Observational survey of events as they occurred; no controlled comparison is possible.
  • Aerial survey estimates bleaching severity at coarse resolution and is calibrated against underwater sampling.

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Published by: Nature PortfolioPublished in a Nature Portfolio journal.

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